The Austro-Hungarian Empire is remembered for what? Possibly
being one of the largest European empires at the time, right behind the Russian
Empire. Of course it was also a dominant economic powerhouse in that they were
the world’s fourth largest machine building nation. Although this ethnically
diverse and as a result, unorganized bureaucratic state, has these vast
accomplishments it seems to be most famous for its epic, and almost too
simplistic, implosion and subsequent triggering of an epic worldwide slaughter
called, World War I. The Austro-Hungarian Empire’s only goal in the war was to
punish Serbia for assassinating its emperor’s heir, Archduke Franz Ferdinand.
Instead the empire’s ethnic divisions unraveled, and by 1916 an empire that
once portrayed itself as a global force was realized to be a nothing more than
a paper tiger. The surprise wasn’t’ that this great nation collapsed, it was
the fact that the empire was able to conceal its blemishes so well for so long.
The University of Virginia men’s basketball team is the
NCAA’s Austro-Hungarian Empire. It’s easy to see why they routinely are ranked
so high in the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. According to Kenpom.com, a college basketball
statistics database, since 2014 Virginia has ranked in the top 12 for teams
with the highest adjusted efficiency metric (adjEM), a statistic used to
determine a team’s overall skill. Then again, since 2014 Virginia has been
ranked no lower than a fifth seed in the NCAA Tournament and has finished no
lower than 5th in the notoriously brutal Atlantic Coast Conference.
In other words, logic says that Virginia deserves to be ranked favorably.
Tony Bennett, Virginia’s head men’s basketball coach, has
been able to excel at dominating the regular season. Though, when it comes to
tournament play he has failed to capitalize on favorable rankings – only
winning his conference tournament once since 2014. The year he won his
conference tournament he also won the conference “regular season title” in
2018. That same year Bennett and his team would make NCAA history for all the
wrong reasons. The first seeded Virginia Cavaliers would be ousted by the 16th
ranked (lowest seed in the tournament) UMBC. A 16th seed defeating a
one seed was so remarkable that there is a Wikipedia
page dedicated to just that first round game. To say that Bennett and his
team busted America’s brackets is an understatement. According to ESPN, of the 17.3 million brackets submitted in its
Tournament Challenge, only 579,666 picked UMBC to win. That comes to a mere
3.5% percent of people picking UMBC to win the game; whereas 18% of entries had
Virginia winning the entire tournament (including your correspondent).
There is reason to believe that this epic and complete
debacle of a beautiful season should not transfer over to the subsequent year.
It is of course a “new season,” with new meaning and a chance for a team to
rewrite, make new, or, in the case of Virginia, bury past history. It doesn’t
appear that this mantra holds truth, though. Yes, Virginia has done very well
this year (excluding it being outplayed, outhustled, and frankly outmanned
against Florida State in the ACC tournament), but there is reason to suggest
where some teams are provided with a premium for past successful NCAA
tournament performance, no team is punished. To illustrate this theory, it is
important to note the premium that Villanova, the defending National Champion,
has received from the NCAA Selection Committee in this year’s tournament. Deadspins’
Lauren Theisen describes it best: “The
[Villanova} Wildcats might well be overrated by the committee; two national
championships in three years will tend to skew perspective a bit.” It seems
that arbitrary premiums are placed on teams who have a history of success, yet,
a history of debacles and disappointments, like Virginia, do not depreciate a
team’s subsequent seasons. If history is the best indicator of the future, then
it should not be ignored simply because it may shed a bad light on a certain
person, place or even sports team.
Virginia has so far
done everything that it has always done – submitted an impressive regular
season resume to the NCAA committee. They did the same thing the previous year
and years prior- yet have little to show for it. These impressive resumes are immensely
overshadowed by its 2018 history making loss. That loss was the equivalent to
when Austro-Hungary’s Archduke, Franz Ferdinand, was assassinated. Virginia and
Austro-Hungary, no matter how brilliant their histories may have appeared, have
engrained their most memorable moment in history with their most embarrassing.
It is their most embarrassing moment, not because of the loss to UMBC in
Virginia’s case or the assassination in Austria’s, but because each event revealed
what each truly was – a hollow, paper tiger.